The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 70¢

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?

Macro · resolves Dec 31 · vol $3.87

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 70¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on finance.yahoo.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: finance.yahoo.com — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.