The market moved
+7.5ppin 24h · now 59¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?
Macro · resolves Jun 15 · vol $315.32
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 59¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wall street journal — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 45.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.