The market moved

-62.0ppin 24h · now

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?

Macro · resolves Jun 2 · vol $78.5K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 62.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wall street journal — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.