The market moved
+7.5ppin 24h · now 58¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10?
Macro · resolves Aug 10 · vol $1.8K
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 58¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wall street journal — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 37.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.