The market moved
+39.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?
Macro · resolves Jan 12 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 39.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wall street journal — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.