The market moved
+53.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?
Macro · resolves May 13 · vol $144.1K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 53.4pp shift. Resolution depends on wall street journal — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.