The market moved

-48.9ppin 24h · now

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 24?

Macro · resolves Jun 24 · vol $99.33

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 48.9pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 5.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.