The market moved

-31.5ppin 24h · now 20¢

Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Other · resolves Jul 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 31.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 37.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.