Swiss National Bank decreases policy rate after March Meeting?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.8pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.