The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 77¢
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
Business · resolves Feb 28 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 77¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.