The market moved
+30.2ppin 24h · now 31¢
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Other · resolves Jul 21 · vol $168.94
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 31¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 30.2pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.