The market moved
-22.6ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Other · resolves Jul 28 · vol $128.25
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 22.6pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.