The market moved
-28.0ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Other · resolves Jul 3 · vol $138.56
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 28.0pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.