The market moved
+57.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Palmer Luckey Erebor Bank chartered in 2025?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 57.0pp shift. Resolution depends on department of banking — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Banking — https://www.reuters.com/business/tech-billionaires-led-by-palmer-luckey-launch-new-bank-rival-svb-ft-reports-2025-07-02/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.