The market moved

+13.5ppin 24h · now 36¢

Will Zhamsaran Tsydypov finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 18?

Other · resolves Sep 2 · vol $3.53

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 36¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 13.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.