The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Politics · resolves Apr 7 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/world/middleeast/trump-threat-strait-peace.html).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.