The market moved
+0.3ppin 24h · now 100¢
Trump approval >40% on June 1?
Politics · resolves Jun 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on silver bulletin is above 40% on june 1, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Silver Bulletin is above 40% on June 1, 2025 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.