The market moved
+8.5ppin 24h · now 54¢
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Politics · resolves May 22 · vol $26.67
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 54¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on natesilver.net — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: natesilver.net — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.