Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: US government — https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.