The market moved

-12.4ppin 24h · now

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Science · resolves Jun 30 · vol $38.7K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.4pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.