Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 75.4pp shift. Resolution depends on the silver bulletin for any date between august 19 and august 31, 2024 (inclusive) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the Silver Bulletin for any date between August 19 and August 31, 2024 (inclusive) — https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.