The market moved

-4.2ppin 24h · now

Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever?

Politics · resolves Jan 20 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.2pp shift. Resolution depends on nielsen.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nielsen.com — https://www.nielsen.com/insights/2013/presidential-inauguration-draws-20-6-million-viewers/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.