The market moved

+76.8ppin 24h · now 100¢

Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?

Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 76.8pp shift. Resolution depends on the cnn exit polls for the 2020 us presidential election, donald trump received 12% of the black vote — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the CNN exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 12% of the Black vote — https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.