The market moved
+0.7ppin 24h · now 100¢
Trump negative approval before May?
Politics · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on to all prior data points — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to all prior data points — https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.