The market moved
+62.6ppin 24h · now 100¢
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?
Politics · resolves Sep 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 62.6pp shift. Resolution depends on department of defense — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Defense — https://www.newsweek.com/trump-hegseth-department-defense-name-change-war-2118837.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.