The market moved
+34.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Trump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?
Politics · resolves May 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 34.0pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump — https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113942189236610107).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.