The market moved
+2.8ppin 24h · now 6¢
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $361.69
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 6¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.8pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.