The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Trump vs. Biden: Who raised more in June?

Politics · resolves Jul 20 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the "total receipts" reported for the period covering june 1, 2024, through june 30, 2024 found on the fec filings — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the "Total Receipts" reported for the period covering June 1, 2024, through June 30, 2024 found on the FEC filings — https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00703975/sa.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.