The market moved
+0.2ppin 24h · now 100¢
Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep
Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump+312.png.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.