The market moved

+86.1ppin 24h · now 100¢

Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?

Politics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 86.1pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: US government — https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-judge-hear-states-bid-block-trump-birthright-citizenship-order-2025-01-23/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.