The market moved

-11.5ppin 24h · now

Trump's January 10 sentencing pushed back?

Politics · resolves Jan 10 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/03/nyregion/trump-sentencing-hush-money-case-ny.html.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.