The market moved
+28.6ppin 24h · now 45¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of July 20 above $405?
Business · resolves Jul 24 · vol $10.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 45¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 28.6pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 23.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.