The market moved
-63.5ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 1 above $410?
Business · resolves Jun 5 · vol $548.64
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 63.5pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.