The market moved

+11.5ppin 24h · now 64¢

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 11?

Business · resolves Aug 11 · vol $100.05

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 64¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 7.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.