The market moved
-37.4ppin 24h · now 6¢
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 18?
Business · resolves May 18 · vol $6.4K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 37.4pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 3.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.