Will United Bankshares (UBSI) beat quarterly earnings?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 18.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.