The market moved
-11.0ppin 24h · now 38¢
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: AC Sparta Praha 2nd Half O/U 1.5
Sports · resolves Aug 11 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 38¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 28.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.