The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 72¢

PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5

Sports · resolves Jul 14 · vol $240.17

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 72¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 18.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.