The market moved

-3.0ppin 24h · now 32¢

Will Myktybek Orolbai win by KO or TKO?

Sports · resolves Aug 16 · vol $44.93

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official ufc data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official UFC data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 19.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.