The market moved

-16.0ppin 24h · now 18¢

UFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Sports · resolves Jun 21 · vol $5.45

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official ufc data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official UFC data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.