The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 48¢
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)
Sports · resolves Aug 2 · vol $1.8K
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 48¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official ufc data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official UFC data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 26.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.