The market moved
-18.5ppin 24h · now 32¢
Will Modestas Bukauskas win by KO or TKO?
Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $1.72
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official ufc data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official UFC data.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.