The market moved

-3.5ppin 24h · now 50¢

UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)

Sports · resolves Jun 28 · vol $278.92

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 50¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official ufc data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official UFC data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.