The market moved
-3.5ppin 24h · now 47¢
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 47¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official ufc data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official UFC data.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 46.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.