The market moved
+18.0ppin 24h · now 93¢
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $591.64
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 93¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 18.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.