The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 24, 2026?
Geopolitics · resolves Jan 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on reuters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-disables-shadow-fleet-vessel-with-sea-drones-black-sea-2025-12-10/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.