The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 23¢

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 84%-85%?

Other · resolves Jul 15 · vol $2.5K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to united airlines' consolidated passenger load factor, for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its offic — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to United Airlines' consolidated passenger load factor, for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its offic.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.