The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 20¢

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 18.5¢-19¢?

Business · resolves Jul 15 · vol $35.45

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to united airlines' total revenue per available seat mile (trasm), reported in cents, for the upcoming second fiscal qua — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to United Airlines' total revenue per available seat mile (TRASM), reported in cents, for the upcoming second fiscal qua.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.