The market moved

+8.5ppin 24h · now 89¢

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

AI · resolves Jul 31 · vol $1.8K

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 89¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.