The market moved
+2.0ppin 24h · now 76¢
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Politics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $35.71
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 76¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.
What to verify
- No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.